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Wednesday, August 28, 2019

Clinical Intelligence Analytics - Study Trends

Study Trends

Study Trends dashboard (Figure 4.1) gives us insights into the tends in recruiting country, average registration to enrollment duration and average study duration over the past 2 decades.
Figure 4.1

The data legends are shared between the charts on the first row. Similarly, the legend is same for the 2 charts on the bottom row.
The data is aggregated on a study level and a study is classified as an International (Both US and non-US), US-only and non-US only study based on the countries of patient recruitment. The analysis excludes studies that does not have any recruiting country information which could be for various reasons such as the recruitment might not have started or the study may not have any enrollments yet.
An international study means that it has recruited patients in the US and at least one other country. 
A non-US only study means that the study has recruited the patients in countries other than the US and no patient was enrolled in the US.
For the other 2 charts on the bottom row, the numbers with a minus sign are positive numbers but are shown as negative numbers just for the display purpose as they are on the opposite side. However, this is not intended. The vertical lines are the average lines to show the distance.

The dashboard can provide insights into the following trends:
1. What's the share of studies by recruiting country?
55% of the studies registered in the US have recruited the patients only from countries other than the US. The share of studies that recruited the patients only inside the US is 39%. International studies are just 6%.


2. What is the trend in the study registration by their location of recruitment?
Now that we know something about the share of the studies based on where the patients were recruited, let's take a look at how it has changed over the last 2 decades. The share of international studies has reduced to less than 5% now from 15% in early 2000's. The trend of US-only studies have also declined sharply from lower 90% in early 2000's to 30-35% level now. The trend of non-US studies have increased consistently in past 2 decades from 44% in year 2005 to 66% in 2019.  
Remember that the share of the studies registered in the past years can change based on the studies that are still recruiting or may recruit in future. Hence, the current trend is the snapshot.

3. How has the average time taken study registration to enrollment changed over the last few years?
The chart shows the trend in the time taken from study registration to patient enrollment or study initiation. The chart also compares side-by-side the duration for studies sponsored by industry or non-industry sponsors.
There are many studies that were registered retrospectively, meaning the studies were registered after they were already started (the first patient was already enrolled). Such retrospective studies were excluded from the analysis. Only for the prospective studies, the registration to enrollment duration is calculated in days.  
It appears that it usually took longer, sometimes 1.5-3 times, for non-industry sponsored studies to begin a study after they are submitted. The trend for non-industry sponsored studies is following a parabolic curve. The average registration to enrollment duration for the non-industry sponsored studies is 125 days which is higher than the overall industry average of 107 days. For the most part, the yearly trend is close to the average line except in year 2010 having an average of 145 days, which is also the highest in recent years.
On the other hand, the industry sponsored studies are initiated quickly and the study initiation duration has improved slightly overall. The average for industry sponsored studies is around 80 days which is well below the industry average of 107 days. The average for the last few years has been consistently near the average line.   

4. How has the average study duration changed over the last few years?
The non-industry sponsored studies takes longer to complete as compared to industry sponsored studies. The average study completion duration for non-industry sponsors is close to 3.5 years which is considerably much higher than the overall industry average of 2.6 years. On the other side, the average for industry sponsors is little above 2 years. The good news is that both type of sponsors have made a significant improvement is past 15 years to bring down the average completion duration to lower levels, possibly signalling great improvements in overall operational efficiency in study conduct.
With that positive note, see you till next time. 

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